This is a letter I sent last night to Will Jones of The Daily Sceptic, regarding his article on the extent to which overzealous ventilator use in New York City during the spring of 2020 could have contributed to the city’s mass casualty event. Figures and tables are accessible in a PDF at the end of the letter. I have posted those in a
Jessica, this is outstanding work. Please keep pressing his question as far and wide as you can. As you know it's one of the keys to unraveling this catastrophe and ensuring we don't repeat it.
Jun 2, 2023·edited Jun 2, 2023Liked by Jessica Hockett
This is an excellent presentation of points rebutting or challenging Will’s assertions. I appreciate all of Jessica’s excellent and important research and writings.
While I’m a big fan of Covid content produced by Will and The Daily Sceptic, I also disagree with some of Will’s conclusions.
If I follow Will’s argument, he believes the novel coronavirus was infecting some people (including some Americans) as early as November 2019. However, he doesn’t believe the virus had spread widely. He also posits that the virus became more contagious and lethal much later - specifically, in late March/early April 2020.
Furthermore, the lethal outbreaks were largely confined to just a few big cities, most conspicuously New York City. And as Jessica points out, the suddenly-lethal virus began to kill people in large numbers AFTER the lockdowns designed to “slow” or “stop” virus spread.
Another virus outbreak anomaly is that the lethal “outbreaks” and spike in deaths occurred at the very end or outside of the typical “cold and flu” virus season (roughly November through March).
For my part, I believe the virus had already spread (widely) around the world probably by November 2019. All of my “early spread” research and logical conclusions lead me to believe the virus was very contagious from November 2019 if not earlier. That is, if one person became infected, many other people in this community had no doubt also been infected.
The fact that antibody-confirmed cases occurred in at least 16 U.S. states and at least five countries (in November and December 2019) also strongly suggests this virus was being transmitted person-to-person across wide swaths and entire continents.
My main conclusion is that the virus had probably infected tens of millions of Americans by the date of the lockdowns. However, there was no noticeable spike in “excess mortality” prior to latter-March 2020. This tells me the virus is/was not particularly lethal to the vast majority of citizens who contracted it. The IFR or CFR would be close to that of the typical flu.
If the virus didn’t suddenly become more lethal or more contagious ... in the first weeks of Spring (!), the only conclusion I can make is that SOMETHING ELSE explains the massive number of “extra” deaths we saw in New York City and a few other large cities (and northern Italy). That something else is iatrogenic deaths, unnecessary panic, faulty protocols and changes in the way people were treated for ILI-type illnesses.
I’ve written a library’s-worth of articles presenting evidence “early spread” occurred … and I have also tried to demonstrate why this is significant. Most of these articles actually tie into the iatrogenic death scandal, which is perhaps the largest unreported scandal of our Covid times.For serious Covid students, here’s a summary and links of some of my own articles:
If early spread happened, why no “early deaths?” The answer is found in Jessica’s article and are no doubt explained by an explosion of “iatrogenic deaths.” (Not a novel coronavirus) ….
I believe “early spread” happened … and that some officials must have KNOWN this and have gone to great lengths to conceal this evidence. (FWIW, I think this is one of my most original and important Covid articles) …
I'll have to read this when I have more time & not on work deadline. But before I forget, thank you, again, for your continued work on all of this. Everything has been swept under the proverbial rug. People want to "move on." But there's no moving on until truth is uncovered and steps taken to make sure this never happens again. I can't get into detail, but through my work I hear officially documented statements from people who were pushed out of their jobs over the mandates. People are still suffering because of it. They can't just "move on."
Please don't stop bringing things to light. Honestly, I don't think the mentality has much changed. If tomorrow a new pandemic was declared, I don't think it would be handled any differently. As I keep saying (because it doesn't change) people are are STILL, to this very day, masked in Chicago. Today I have to accompany a family member to a doctor appointment. I'll still be asked to grab a mask. Last time, I held it near my face, kept walking quickly, and just held it the rest of the time. Thankfully, I wasn't harassed. Who knows how it will be this time. They are never going to stop.
The mindset hasn’t changed, and most people ardently believe there was a global viral pandemic that came out of nowhere and killed (for example) ~20K people in NYC in 11 weeks.
Jun 2, 2023·edited Jun 2, 2023Liked by Jessica Hockett
The virus just suddenly became more lethal and contagious in NY City ... in April! BTW, I really liked your comparisons to the Spanish Flu and the fact you pointed out the different mortality rates b/w Chicago and NYC.
Another point that might be significant is the hospitals where most of the deaths occurred largely serve the poor, I think. It would be interesting to get some demographic and income data on the "Covid victims" in April.
Also, the "Nocebo Effect" (the opposite of the Placebo Effect) played a bigger role than has been acknowledged imo.
I've seen less masking in the weeks since the public health emergency ended. Maybe the media is presenting covid differently, or maybe more of the remnant of maskers are recovering their senses.
Great distillation of your research in a poignant letter. Thank you for all you've revealed and clarified. Indict Cuomo, Deblasio, Barbot and on up the chain.
You’re welcome. No plans to stop. In many ways, the first order of business should be to demand proof that each and every death occurred (ACM, not just covid-blamed).
Right on. This ties in with the findings of Denis Rancourt.
This brilliant video by Dr. Nandita Shah would serve to further increase the observation that over active politicians, ill-conceived medical interventions and poverty were the crisis, not some novel virus. Notice her protocol is entirely drug free. We're not even talking about Ivm or HCQ yet.
Magisterial. But you offer more respect than deserved. Will Jones in The Daily Septic: "However, there can be little doubt that most of the excess deaths during Covid waves were due to the virus." Anyone who claim this in 2023 is either an idiot, a plant, or both.
It’s always better to err on the side of respect in these scenarios. :) He did reply, and conceded some things a bit, but fundamentally doesn’t have real doubts about or skepticism toward sars-cov-2 as a novel pathogen that increased risk of mortality and was a capable of killing many thousands of people in a short period. He also pointed again to NYC’s 3 year mortality being not that bad.
More to your credit. I myself have doubts not only about his accuracy but about his good faith. I can't pretend to have understood everything you've written but believe I've grasped the main points!
Will Jones aside, the main point about New York is that a cataclysmic event occurred that happened no place else, most of the deaths are blamed on a sudden spread of a novel deadly pathogen, and there’s been zero accountability for or interest in finding out what occurred. At minimum, the de-identified death certificates need to be released as proof that this number of people actually died.
Jessica, this is outstanding work. Please keep pressing his question as far and wide as you can. As you know it's one of the keys to unraveling this catastrophe and ensuring we don't repeat it.
Thank you.
New York WAS the pandemic (right after Italy).
If it didn't happen there, it didn't happen anywhere
This is an excellent presentation of points rebutting or challenging Will’s assertions. I appreciate all of Jessica’s excellent and important research and writings.
While I’m a big fan of Covid content produced by Will and The Daily Sceptic, I also disagree with some of Will’s conclusions.
If I follow Will’s argument, he believes the novel coronavirus was infecting some people (including some Americans) as early as November 2019. However, he doesn’t believe the virus had spread widely. He also posits that the virus became more contagious and lethal much later - specifically, in late March/early April 2020.
Furthermore, the lethal outbreaks were largely confined to just a few big cities, most conspicuously New York City. And as Jessica points out, the suddenly-lethal virus began to kill people in large numbers AFTER the lockdowns designed to “slow” or “stop” virus spread.
Another virus outbreak anomaly is that the lethal “outbreaks” and spike in deaths occurred at the very end or outside of the typical “cold and flu” virus season (roughly November through March).
For my part, I believe the virus had already spread (widely) around the world probably by November 2019. All of my “early spread” research and logical conclusions lead me to believe the virus was very contagious from November 2019 if not earlier. That is, if one person became infected, many other people in this community had no doubt also been infected.
The fact that antibody-confirmed cases occurred in at least 16 U.S. states and at least five countries (in November and December 2019) also strongly suggests this virus was being transmitted person-to-person across wide swaths and entire continents.
My main conclusion is that the virus had probably infected tens of millions of Americans by the date of the lockdowns. However, there was no noticeable spike in “excess mortality” prior to latter-March 2020. This tells me the virus is/was not particularly lethal to the vast majority of citizens who contracted it. The IFR or CFR would be close to that of the typical flu.
If the virus didn’t suddenly become more lethal or more contagious ... in the first weeks of Spring (!), the only conclusion I can make is that SOMETHING ELSE explains the massive number of “extra” deaths we saw in New York City and a few other large cities (and northern Italy). That something else is iatrogenic deaths, unnecessary panic, faulty protocols and changes in the way people were treated for ILI-type illnesses.
Thank you Bill and Jessica for all of your data-intensive work.
To me, the take-home message could be stated as:
1) Covid was already widespread prior to the Covid response yet significant excess mortality only started after the response.
2) One implication is that various aspects of the Covid response are responsible for the excess mortality.
I think more people will indirectly acknowledged these points as time goes on.
Thank you again for all of your work on this topic.
I think an even bigger question is “what was *covid* a response to?”
I’ve written a library’s-worth of articles presenting evidence “early spread” occurred … and I have also tried to demonstrate why this is significant. Most of these articles actually tie into the iatrogenic death scandal, which is perhaps the largest unreported scandal of our Covid times.For serious Covid students, here’s a summary and links of some of my own articles:
If early spread happened, why no “early deaths?” The answer is found in Jessica’s article and are no doubt explained by an explosion of “iatrogenic deaths.” (Not a novel coronavirus) ….
https://billricejr.substack.com/p/if-early-spread-happened-why-no-early?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2
***
Authors from the Isle of Man recently published a highly-recommended document that makes compelling points about iatrogenic deaths ….
https://billricejr.substack.com/p/document-makes-powerful-points-on?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2
***
Another effort on my part to show how early spread and iatrogenic deaths tie in together ….
https://billricejr.substack.com/p/iatrogenic-deaths-and-early-spread?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2
***
I believe “early spread” happened … and that some officials must have KNOWN this and have gone to great lengths to conceal this evidence. (FWIW, I think this is one of my most original and important Covid articles) …
https://billricejr.substack.com/p/theory-officials-intentionally-concealed?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2
***
Here’s one of my own rebuttal pieces to theories put forth by my friend Will Jones …
https://billricejr.substack.com/p/others-are-now-writing-about-early?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2
***
Here’s all the known antibody evidence I’ve found supporting the “early spread” hypothesis …
https://billricejr.substack.com/p/early-spread-evidence-in-one-document?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2
***
In this article, I ague that one or two “confirmed” cases would actually “prove” early spread happened …
https://billricejr.substack.com/p/one-case-study-proves-early-spread?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2
****
Here’s why I think tens of millions of Americans had already been infected by the lockdown date of mid-March 2020 …
https://billricejr.substack.com/p/how-many-americans-had-been-infected?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2
***
Why does “early spread” even matter? Here are some of the reasons I think it’s very important …
https://billricejr.substack.com/p/why-early-spread-matters?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2
***
Can an “early” Covid case even be “confirmed?” Apparently not.
https://billricejr.substack.com/p/can-a-case-of-early-spread-even-be?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2
I'll have to read this when I have more time & not on work deadline. But before I forget, thank you, again, for your continued work on all of this. Everything has been swept under the proverbial rug. People want to "move on." But there's no moving on until truth is uncovered and steps taken to make sure this never happens again. I can't get into detail, but through my work I hear officially documented statements from people who were pushed out of their jobs over the mandates. People are still suffering because of it. They can't just "move on."
Please don't stop bringing things to light. Honestly, I don't think the mentality has much changed. If tomorrow a new pandemic was declared, I don't think it would be handled any differently. As I keep saying (because it doesn't change) people are are STILL, to this very day, masked in Chicago. Today I have to accompany a family member to a doctor appointment. I'll still be asked to grab a mask. Last time, I held it near my face, kept walking quickly, and just held it the rest of the time. Thankfully, I wasn't harassed. Who knows how it will be this time. They are never going to stop.
I agree with you.
The mindset hasn’t changed, and most people ardently believe there was a global viral pandemic that came out of nowhere and killed (for example) ~20K people in NYC in 11 weeks.
I don’t see evidence of any such thing.
The virus just suddenly became more lethal and contagious in NY City ... in April! BTW, I really liked your comparisons to the Spanish Flu and the fact you pointed out the different mortality rates b/w Chicago and NYC.
Another point that might be significant is the hospitals where most of the deaths occurred largely serve the poor, I think. It would be interesting to get some demographic and income data on the "Covid victims" in April.
Also, the "Nocebo Effect" (the opposite of the Placebo Effect) played a bigger role than has been acknowledged imo.
Yes, I have that data.
Upon this visit, (Humboldt Park Hospital), they said masks were optional! Staff was still masked, but I don't know if that was by choice.
I've seen less masking in the weeks since the public health emergency ended. Maybe the media is presenting covid differently, or maybe more of the remnant of maskers are recovering their senses.
I hope so. I suppose it depends on where you live. I stopped listening to the "news" coverage on this even in 2020.
Thank you for your relentless efforts regarding #TheNewYorkProblem.
This is a fantastic piece. Love the fact based argument using the government’s own stats. I fear that no one in power wants the truth to be known.
Thank you.
The bigger problem than people in power not wanting the truth to be known is We the People believing the truth is already known.
Great distillation of your research in a poignant letter. Thank you for all you've revealed and clarified. Indict Cuomo, Deblasio, Barbot and on up the chain.
More to come :)
Thank you for staying on top of this. Excellent work, please don’t give up.
You’re welcome. No plans to stop. In many ways, the first order of business should be to demand proof that each and every death occurred (ACM, not just covid-blamed).
Right on. This ties in with the findings of Denis Rancourt.
This brilliant video by Dr. Nandita Shah would serve to further increase the observation that over active politicians, ill-conceived medical interventions and poverty were the crisis, not some novel virus. Notice her protocol is entirely drug free. We're not even talking about Ivm or HCQ yet.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zfJMz_LnarY&t=1653s
Magisterial. But you offer more respect than deserved. Will Jones in The Daily Septic: "However, there can be little doubt that most of the excess deaths during Covid waves were due to the virus." Anyone who claim this in 2023 is either an idiot, a plant, or both.
It’s always better to err on the side of respect in these scenarios. :) He did reply, and conceded some things a bit, but fundamentally doesn’t have real doubts about or skepticism toward sars-cov-2 as a novel pathogen that increased risk of mortality and was a capable of killing many thousands of people in a short period. He also pointed again to NYC’s 3 year mortality being not that bad.
More to your credit. I myself have doubts not only about his accuracy but about his good faith. I can't pretend to have understood everything you've written but believe I've grasped the main points!
Will Jones aside, the main point about New York is that a cataclysmic event occurred that happened no place else, most of the deaths are blamed on a sudden spread of a novel deadly pathogen, and there’s been zero accountability for or interest in finding out what occurred. At minimum, the de-identified death certificates need to be released as proof that this number of people actually died.
.
And The Medical Doctors Mentally Discombobulate:
Don’t Worry Doctors.
Medical Schools Are Not The Only Insane Asylums
That Grant Degrees.
Most Prisons Offer GED’s.
It’s Just That With Prisons
You Have A Penal System
Where Your Debt Is Already Paid.
.