In this article, I capture the essence of observations I made last week of data reported in A spatiotemporal reconstruction of the 1630 plague epidemic in Milan (Galli et al, 2023).
Okay, how does the image of the Bergamo/NY curve against the Imperial curve not raise eyebrows? Sure, sure. That's how life works right? We predict it in a model and then it plays out exactly like we predicted.
One of my favorite substack guys often used to end his posts with some topical bit of music or video. Here's a brief piece from a composer active in Milan in years before 1630 - he actually died that year - who knows, he may be a data point on that lurid, jagged blue data plot (well, jagged at least, can blue be lurid?) - doing his part for stochasticity - and passing on at what, at the time, would have been the grand old age of 60.
And by the way, just who gets a stochasticity citation? only guys dying on peak days? guys who hold on a few days more beyond the valley days and get to a mid-range day (thus accentuating the valley)?
I love music of all kinds. When it comes to live performances per se, classical and opera are my favorites. :)
I love musicals too.
EDIT: there is a good metaphor/parallel to be made with what I am saying in this article and musical notes. I am not a composer or musician but my two kids are. Need to ask them for help :)
Okay, how does the image of the Bergamo/NY curve against the Imperial curve not raise eyebrows? Sure, sure. That's how life works right? We predict it in a model and then it plays out exactly like we predicted.
Maybe the sound of silence is the sound of MIA statisticians raising their eyebrows? 🙃🤨
One of my favorite substack guys often used to end his posts with some topical bit of music or video. Here's a brief piece from a composer active in Milan in years before 1630 - he actually died that year - who knows, he may be a data point on that lurid, jagged blue data plot (well, jagged at least, can blue be lurid?) - doing his part for stochasticity - and passing on at what, at the time, would have been the grand old age of 60.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fh9rBx0zV30
And by the way, just who gets a stochasticity citation? only guys dying on peak days? guys who hold on a few days more beyond the valley days and get to a mid-range day (thus accentuating the valley)?
TY
I love music of all kinds. When it comes to live performances per se, classical and opera are my favorites. :)
I love musicals too.
EDIT: there is a good metaphor/parallel to be made with what I am saying in this article and musical notes. I am not a composer or musician but my two kids are. Need to ask them for help :)