Spreadsheet pandemic?

The title of this post speaks for itself.

I live in DuPage County, Illinois, and investigate the spring 2020 mass casualty event in Bergamo Province, Italy.

  • Bergamo has more residents (~1.1M vs 935K).
  • DuPage is more population-dense.
  • Both locations report 80%+ uptake for the initial round of COVID shots.
  • DuPage County death records are available through public records requests, and the county medical examiner is an elected official. To my knowledge, this is not the case in Bergamo.
  • Readers can Google other details about each jurisdiction.
  • DuPage data obtained via FOIA from DuPage County Health Department; Bergamo data from Italian Statistical Authority.

The prima facie differences between the DuPage County, Illinois, and Bergamo Province, Italy death curves are enough to suspect neither was wrought by a spreading virus — and that Bergamo’s death spike is false in one way or another.

Graph 1: DuPage County resident deaths (all causes, all ages).

Graph 2: Bergamo Province resident deaths (all causes, all ages)

Graph 3: Bergamo vs DuPage, Raw Number (Same Scale)

Graph 4: Bergamo vs DuPage, Raw Number (Same Scale)

Graph 5: Bergamo vs DuPage, Pop-Adjusted

Unnecessary

Graph 6: Bergamo vs DuPage, Age-Adjusted

Unnecessary


Last updates: 13 January 2025

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